He will try to intimidate the West and imitate Ukrainians. And unfortunately, he kind of succeeds to have initiative, military initiative, while NATO seems to be too cautious to me.
Andrei Kozyrev: “He will try to intimidate the West and imitate Ukrainians. And unfortunately, he kind of succeeds to have initiative…”
Editor's note · Context
Kozyrev discusses Putin's potential actions and NATO's cautious response to the conflict.
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It’s not enough in any military confrontation. You cannot win a small skirmish, you cannot win especially large war like the one in Ukraine only being defensive.
He does not want to recognize it himself, I think. And, definitely, he does not want Russian people to understand what is happening.
But to keep sanctions before Russia becomes a normal country, a country to which you can rely to follow the rules, very simple rules. Otherwise, it will repeat itself every two, three years down the road.
The Kremlin spent the last 20 years trying to modernize its military, but much of that budget was stolen and spent on mega yachts in Cyprus.