I think the most important thing in thinking about 2010 is not thinking about this as necessarily a first step toward--in a democratic transition, but to think about 2010 as a huge reorganization of this system that's going to throw up unexpected dynamics, that's going to bring fresh blood and new people to the top of the regime.
Jim Webb emphasizes the importance of viewing the 2010 elections as a significant reorganization rather than a simple transition.
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