Jerome Powell actually said...

We are following it very, very closely, and I think you have put your finger on it, this is a problem more for smaller banks.

the United States' Federal budget is on an unsustainable path, which means that the debt is growing faster than the economy.

Climate change poses profound challenges for the global economy and the financial system.

I think that is a pretty good guess of what will happen if the economy performs about as expected.